2024-12-09
A survey in the Development Trend of scourer in 2025
Prediction of scourer industry development trend is depend on its previous and present information,which adopts some technical ways and methods to predicate and value its future development direction.
Analysis principle of development trends for scourer industry
Knowability principle
Knowability principle is also called Regularity principle,which predicate the future development conditions through probing its development changing rules about scourer industries.Prediction analysis is a trend judgment made by knowability principle.
Continuity principle
Some development trends rules in the past and present will be continued and development conditions will also suitable to the future while we assume scourer enterprises in the process of production.According to continuity principle,we can take scourer industries future as history extend to predicate.
The development of scourer industry is a interdependence and mutual restriction relationship with relative industries.
And its future development trend and conditions will be definitely occurred from muti circumstances.And judging the development rules of scourer industry future market according to connection relationship between effective factors.
The scourer industry has its own development rule,mastering its regularity and exploit subjective and initiative of scourer enterprises,and let the scourer industry to the direction comply with people’s desire,that is controllability principle.
Analysis method of scourer industry development trends
Quantitative analysis method is mainly applied in mathematics method and different calculation tools to process and deal with scientifically,and establishing prediction analysis mathematics mode and reveal the regularity connections between all relative variable,then to make a prediction conclusion of scourer industry.
Quantitative Analysis Method can be divided to two types according to treatment method of data information:
Analysis method to trend predictions is also called time series analysis method or extrapolation analysis method,which treating and calculate in using mathematics method and predicate analysis method of scourer industry future trend,and the history data of scourer industry arranged by time order.
For example:Arithmetic average,moving average,trend average method,weighted average method,exponential smoothing and time series analysis method.
Cause and Effect Predicate Analysis Method is a way to predicate and analyze by building relative cause mathematics mode according to interdependence and mutual restriction regularity rule between scourer industry with its relative industries.
For example:Cost volume profit analysis method,Input-output analysis method,regression analysis and Econometric method
Qualitative Analysis method also call Non quantity analysis method,which is analyzed comprehensively by scourer industry experts according to their personal experiences and knowledge and combining to the characteristics.
Qualitative Analysis method is called Judging analysis method or composite proposals in western countries.
And here are some main analysis methods below:
Buyer Intention Investigation Method is analyzed by the requirements in some period through inquiring downstream users of scourer industry directly.
It can be judged market demand and enterprise demand through sales peoples when cannot be surveyed scourer buyers or higher expenses
Because the sales are close to the downstream users of scourer industry and familiar with its conditions,so the sales evaluation can be gotten a valuable results.
Expert Opinion Method also means Delphi Method,is mentioned by Rand Company in the US in the late 1940s
Using Expert Opinion Method,composed firstly by dealer,distributors,Market Impact Consultant or experts group composed by some authority figures,not too many people,about 20 peoples usually.
Edited and Translated by Santos Wang from Ningbo Master Clean Commodities Co.,Ltd.
https://www.masterscourer.com
santos@mastescourer.com
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